Iowa State’s trips to Waco haven’t been fruitful in recent years.
Since 2008, the Bears have won all four home games against the Cyclones, including a 45-27 thrashing two years ago at McLane Stadium.
But the scenario is much different this year as the bowl bound Cyclones come into Saturday’s game as favorites against a 1-9 Baylor squad.
It will be senior day for the Bears, so they should come out with great energy. But this will certainly be Iowa State’s best chance to pull off a win on Baylor’s home turf in many years.
Iowa State (-9.5) at Baylor
The Cyclones’ rise under second-year Matt Campbell has been one of college football’s best stories.
Iowa State upset Oklahoma and TCU when both schools were ranked in the top five. Though the Cyclones have dropped a pair of close games to West Virginia and Oklahoma State, they’re already bowl eligible with a 6-4 record.
Starting quarterback Kyle Kempt went down with a shoulder injury in last week’s 49-42 loss to Oklahoma State, and is listed as day to day. Zeb Noland stepped in and did a good job, and will be ready if called upon against the Bears.
Iowa State’s punishing defense will be too strong for Baylor to move the ball consistently.
ISU 27, Baylor 14
Texas (+3.5) at No. 24 West Virginia
After pulling out last week’s 28-23 win against Kansas State in Manhattan, West Virginia will be glad to be back home again against Texas.
The Mountaineers are already bowl eligible at 7-3 while a 5-5 Texas team still needs another win.
While the Longhorns’ defense has been solid all season, West Virginia quarterback Will Grier has proven he can carve up anybody he faces. It won’t be a pleasant trip for the Longhorns to Morgantown.
WVU 28, Texas 24
No. 11 TCU (-7.5) at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders snapped a four-game losing streak with a 38-24 win over Baylor last week at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, but coming back home to Lubbock won’t guarantee a second straight win.
The Red Raiders have dropped their last two games on their home turf to Iowa State and Kansas State.
The 5-5 Red Raiders still need a win to become bowl eligible while TCU needs to win for a good shot at making the Big 12 championship game following last week’s 38-20 loss to Oklahoma.
With TCU quarterback Kenny Hill questionable with an injury, this could be the week the Red Raiders finally break their home jinx.
Texas Tech 31, TCU 28
Kansas State (+21) at No. 10 Oklahoma State
The Cowboys rebounded nicely from their Bedlam loss to Oklahoma with a road win over a tough Iowa State team last week.
They still have a shot at reaching the Big 12 championship game if they can beat the Wildcats and Kansas in the last two games.
Kansas State needs a win to become bowl eligible, but they won’t get it in an intimidating environment in Stillwater.
Oklahoma State 42, Kansas State 28
No. 3 Oklahoma (-36.5) at Kansas
This is the mismatch of all mismatches as the red hot Sooners roll into Lawrence against a Kansas team that’s 0-7 in the Big 12.
The Sooners have a clear shot at the College Football Playoff with regular season games remaining at Kansas and West Virginia in Norman before playing in the Big 12 championship game.
The only question is how lopsided this game will be. Besides it’s basketball season in Kansas, and nobody really cares about football.
Oklahoma 56, Kansas 7
Last week: 3-2 overall, 3-2 against the line
Season: 33-17 overall, 27-22-1 against the line