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John Werner's College Predictions: Payback time for Oklahoma Sooners


Friday, September 26, 2008

Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops never forgets a loss in Norman.

In their last 34 home games, the Sooners have lost just once — a 17-10 setback to TCU to open the 2005 season.

“They kicked our butts,” Stoops said. “They were a physical, disciplined team.”

The rematch will be Saturday night in Norman, and don’t think Stoops hasn’t reminded his team of that loss three years ago. After burying its first three opponents, No. 2 Oklahoma could get its first test against the No. 24 Horned Frogs.

#24 TCU (+17 1/2) at #2 Oklahoma

TCU coach Gary Patterson says the Sooners don’t have any weaknesses — and he might be right.

With sophomore quarterback Sam Bradford putting up better numbers than in his phenomenal freshman year, the Sooners lead the nation with a 54.7 scoring average. They’ve averaged 556.7 yards in three lopsided wins, but haven’t faced a defense that compares to TCU.

The Horned Frogs have allowed a national-low 183.0 yards per game, and have given up just 31 points to propel themselves to a 4-0 start. But Oklahoma is a much more powerful team than the last time it faced TCU.

Oklahoma 31, TCU 7

Arkansas (+27 1/2) at #7 Texas

This game was postponed for two weeks due to Hurricane Ike, but Arkansas’ chances of upsetting the Longhorns haven’t improved with time.

After opening with two wins, the Hogs were blasted by No. 8 Alabama, 49-14, last weekend. Meanwhile, the Longhorns blew away Rice, 52-10, for their third straight win.

Colt McCoy is off to a great start as he’s completed 77.8 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns with just one interception. Arkansas quarterback Casey Dick has thrown for 831 yards, but has hit just five touchdown passes compared to four interceptions.

I don’t see a replay of the 1969 classic between these two old Southwest Conference rivals.

Texas 45, Arkansas 10

Virginia Tech (+7) at Nebraska

The Cornhuskers haven’t really been tested in their first three games, but this could be a challenge.

The Hokies defense has been solid in their 3-1 start, allowing 17 points per game. They’ll try to contain a Nebraska offense that’s averaging 40 points, and has grown quite comfortable by playing all its games thus far at home.

Nebraska 28, Virginia Tech 17

Colorado (+5 1/2) vs. Florida State

The Buffaloes turned some heads last week with their 17-14 overtime upset of West Virginia.

Freshman Rodney Stewart, who stands just 5-foot-6, rushed for 166 yards against the Mountaineers. Colorado’s defense also rose to the occasion, stopping West Virginia on 10 of 13 third-down conversions and two fourth-down conversions.

Florida State dropped out of the top 25 with a 12-3 loss to Wake Forest last week. The Seminoles finished with just 220 yards total offense, but should be able to produce more against the Buffaloes in this game in Jacksonville.

Florida State 17, Colorado 10

#8 Alabama (+7) at #3 Georgia

This classic showdown between two old SEC rivals probably would have been more climactic in November, but it’s great any month of the year.

Under second-year coach Nick Saban, the Crimson Tide is on a roll with four straight wins. Glen Coffee has been one of the leaders, rushing for 162 yards and two touchdowns in last weekend’s rout of Arkansas.

Knowshon Moreno is off to a great start for Georgia, averaging 113.7 yards rushing while scoring nine touchdowns. But I’ll take the hot Tide in a slight upset on the road.

Alabama 21, Georgia 17

Last week: 4-1 straight up, 4-1 against the line

Season: 17-3 straight up, 14-6 against the line

jwerner@wacotrib.com

757-5716

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